Posted:
Mar 29, 2018 @ 5:37 am

The avalanche danger is CONSIDERABLE on wind loaded terrain for the West Central Montana backcountry. On non-wind loaded terrain, the avalanche danger is moderate. Avalanche activity has increased on wind loaded terrain making human trigger avalanches likely. Small to large to very large avalanches are possible dependent on the terrain where you choose to recreate.

Good morning, this is Logan King with the West Central Montana Avalanche Center’s avalanche advisory for Thursday, March 29th, 2018. This danger rating does not apply to operating ski areas, expires at midnight tonight and is the sole responsibility of the U.S. Forest Service.

Weather and Snowpack

As of 5:00 am this morning, mountain temperatures are in the twenties. Winds have been in the teen to twenties and gusting to the thirties primarily from the west. Since yesterday morning an additional 1-5 inches of snow have fallen bringing the two-day snow totals up to nearly a foot at some locations. The majority of mountain locations have received less than .5 inches of SWE.

Gregg toured in the Rattlesnake yesterday and found wind slabs that were on the cusp of being classified as touchy. With heavy winds across the advisory area and concentrated to the northern regions paired with snow to the north, wind slabs will be increasingly sensitive today.

Strong winds have made wind slabs the primary concern. With plenty of new snow for transport and heavy winds, wind slabs have grown in size and sensitivity to triggers at elevations above 6,000 feet. Look for sastrugi, rounded pillows of snow, and wind drifts to identify aspects and elevations to avoid today. Human triggered avalanches will be likely on wind loaded terrain but will vary greatly in size and will are dependent on local topography.

Avalanche and Weather Outlook

Sustained westerly winds are expected to continue through the day today but will be less intense than yesterday. Snow showers will continue to diminish through the day today before another round of snow sets up for late Friday. Avalanche conditions will remain steady for the next 24 hours.

The final regular scheduled advisory will be issued on Saturday, March 31’st. Additional advisories and condition updates will be posted as necessary.

If you are out in the backcountry, please send us your observations, these are very helpful in producing the advisory.

Ski and ride safe.

READ FULL ADVISORY  

Problem 1 - Wind Slabs

  • TYPE

    wind-slabs

    Wind Slabs

    Release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind.  Wind typically erodes snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side.  Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

  • SIZE

    3-4

    1-2 (Small-Large)

    The potential size of avalanche resulting from this problem.

  • LIKELIHOOD

    Likelihood-4

    Possible/Likely

    The likelihood of an avalanche resulting from this problem.

Strong winds and new snow are creating a growing wind slab problem in certain locations.

FORECAST & OUTLOOK

Sustained westerly winds are expected to continue.

This information is the sole responsibility of the Forest Service and does not apply to operating ski areas. The avalanche danger rating expires at midnight tonight but the information can help you make a more informed decision regarding travel in avalanche terrain for the next few days.

Our advisory area includes National Forest System lands in the Bitterroot Mountains from Lost Trail Pass north to Granite Pass, the Rattlesnake Mountains north of Missoula and the Southern Swan and Mission Mountains near Seeley Lake, MT. Avalanche information for the Lookout Pass/St. Regis Basin area is available from the Idaho Panhandle Avalanche Center.